{"id":16731,"date":"2017-01-04T14:11:08","date_gmt":"2017-01-04T11:11:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost\/textilegence\/fed-increased-interest-rates-dollars-fire-may-cost-a-bomb\/"},"modified":"2018-11-06T16:17:31","modified_gmt":"2018-11-06T13:17:31","slug":"fed-increased-interest-rates-dollars-fire-may-cost-a-bomb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.textilegence.com\/en\/fed-increased-interest-rates-dollars-fire-may-cost-a-bomb\/","title":{"rendered":"FED Increased Interest Rates, Dollar\u2019s Fire May Cost A Bomb"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"FED
FED Increased Interest Rates, Dollar\u2019s Fire May Cost A Bomb<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

USA Federal Reserve System – FED global as expected by global markets increased interest rates up to 25 points, and gave the hint that the interest rate\u2019s increasing would continue in 2017 as well. Especially developing markets are foreseen to be effected by this decision that started Strong Dollar term.<\/strong><\/p>\n

With Federal Reserve System<\/a> – FED’s raising interest rates up to 0.25 points, roles in the global markets have been changed. While gold losing value drastically, Dollar increased in value against local currencies in developing markets. How will Turkey that can\u2019t hinder Dollar and Euro\u2019s gaining value against TL, be affected by FED\u2019s decision of increasing interest rates? What can this rate affect from investments in long terms, providing outside borrowings to hot money flow?<\/p>\n

FED\u2019s Federal Open Market Committe\u2019s (FOMC) decision of increasing the interest rates after one year was decided unanimously in December meeting. Because of \u2018Work force market situation with developments and expectations in inflation\u2019, FED raised interest rates up to 0,50-0,75% by increasing 0.25 points. FED also announced that in 2017 there can be 3 more interest rate increasings.<\/p>\n

Having a 103 years of history, Federal Reserve System-FED is considered to be one of the most important financial players of the global market. Being responsible for USA\u2019s Money politics as well as printing and distributing, FED\u2019s balance-sheet size has reached to 4,593 trillion Dollars since March 2016. Raising USA\u2019s growth expectancy for this year from 1,8 to 1,9 rate, FED revised 2017 growth expectancy from 2% to 2,1%. FED also foresees 2% growth for 2018 and 1,9% growth for 2019 in USA. Not making a change in core inflation expectancies, FED announced 1,7% at the end of 2016; 1,8% at the end of 2017 and 2% rate at the end of 2018 and 2019.<\/p>\n

Unemployment expectancy rate for 2017 pulled down from 4,6% to 4,5%. In 2018 and 2019 the unemployment rate is expected to be around 4,5%. These positive reviews towards USA economy cause the interest rate increase occured at the end of 2016\u00a0 and 3 more increases in 2017 as well.\u00a0 The fact that newly selected president Trump\u2019s<\/a> economical and diplomatic politics have not been cleared yet and his harsh accusations to FED president Janet Yellen during the campaign, make it difficult to have predictions for USA. In this new term where it focuses on strengthening its local market and economoy, USA is said to cut down the cash flow. On the other side, as a part of USA\u2019s coming out of stagnation and developing again, FED\u2019s rates are expected to be increased regularly.<\/p>\n

Not making an interest rate increase in 2008-2015 terms; FED made the latest decision of interest rate increasing in December 2015. As can be remembered, starting in 2008 in USA and affecting all developed economies; financial crisis had reached a power that turned all economies upside down; by beginning with mortgage system and enhancing to banking.<\/p>\n

FED\u2019s increase decision in December 2016, in the simplest term, means reclaiming Dollar in outside the country. Reclaimed from global markets, this money is expected to get out of developing countries and economies. Among these markets, Brasil, Russia, Turkey and South Africa are in the first rank.<\/p>\n

Developing Economies May Have Difficulties in Finding Money<\/strong><\/h1>\n

Turkey attracting Dollar abundantly, easily and making its economical development; during the years when FED didn\u2019t increase the rates; is among the countries facing the most difficulty in the new term. Even with the announcement of increasing Dollar which tends to increase already, caused 3,51 TL value increase. USA\u2019s rate increase puts countries\u2019 growth and exchange rates in a difficult position; since it increases the financial cost of developing countries with a high indebtness levels. Having gross external dept of 411,5 billion dollar since March 2016; Turkey\u2019s national income\u2019s rate to dept was determined as 58,1%. In the same period, while Turkey\u2019s external dept stock was 257,2 billion dolar; the stock\u2019s rate to national income was 36,3%.<\/p>\n

Some experts think that on the basis of Turkey\u2019s sustainable current deficit, dept load and budgetary deficit; FED\u2019s rate increase\u2019s negative effect can be reduced. Along with that, not being able to wipe out its need for external financing; this is accepted as an increase rate that can change Turkey\u2019s internal economical dynamics very drastically. Also, as the only institution that holds Turkey in the investible country status; FITCH will announce its new decision on the 27th <\/sup>of January. This date is anticipated very curiously in terms of Turkey\u2019s financial view and future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA Federal Reserve System – FED global as expected by global markets increased interest rates up to 25 points, and gave the hint that the interest rate\u2019s increasing would continue in 2017 as well. Especially developing markets are foreseen to be effected by this decision that started Strong Dollar term. With Federal Reserve System – […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19245,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9859],"tags":[7189,7580,10573],"class_list":{"0":"post-16731","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-topical","8":"tag-donald-trump","9":"tag-fed","10":"tag-usa-en"},"yoast_head":"\nFED Increased Interest Rates, USD\u2019s Fire May Cost A Bomb - Textilegence<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USA Federal Reserve System - FED global as expected by global markets increased interest rates up to 25 points, and gave the hint that the interest rate\u2019s increasing would continue in 2017 as well. 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It focuses on the textile industry and sub-segments. The platform provides news, articles, and updates on various aspects of the textile industry, including sustainability, technological advancements, and market trends.\",\"email\":\"editor@textilegence.com\",\"telephone\":\"+90 212 442 24 12\",\"legalName\":\"Textilegence Mag and Digital Platform\",\"foundingDate\":\"2013-01-01\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"1\",\"maxValue\":\"10\"}},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.textilegence.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/46ccc7bfc34edbc7d46b6b189f88849f\",\"name\":\"Engin Buz\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.textilegence.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/12\\\/engin-buz.jpg\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.textilegence.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/12\\\/engin-buz.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.textilegence.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2018\\\/12\\\/engin-buz.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Engin Buz\"},\"description\":\"Engin Buz, Ankara \u00dcniversitesi \u0130leti\u015fim Fak\u00fcltesi Gazetecilik B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019nden mezun olduktan sonra Y\u0131ld\u0131z Teknik \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nde Siyaset Bilimi ve Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130li\u015fkiler alan\u0131nda y\u00fcksek lisans\u0131n\u0131 tamamlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra \u00e7e\u015fitli yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k \u015firketlerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flayarak k\u00fclt\u00fcr-sanat ve daha sonra ekonomi haberleri haz\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2009 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren tekstil end\u00fcstrisine d\u00f6n\u00fck yay\u0131nlarda edit\u00f6r olarak g\u00f6rev alan Buz, 2013 itibariyle kurulan Textilegence\u2019de haber edit\u00f6r\u00fc olarak yer almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 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The platform provides news, articles, and updates on various aspects of the textile industry, including sustainability, technological advancements, and market trends.","email":"editor@textilegence.com","telephone":"+90 212 442 24 12","legalName":"Textilegence Mag and Digital Platform","foundingDate":"2013-01-01","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"1","maxValue":"10"}},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.textilegence.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/46ccc7bfc34edbc7d46b6b189f88849f","name":"Engin Buz","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.textilegence.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/engin-buz.jpg","url":"https:\/\/www.textilegence.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/engin-buz.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.textilegence.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/engin-buz.jpg","caption":"Engin Buz"},"description":"Engin Buz, Ankara \u00dcniversitesi \u0130leti\u015fim Fak\u00fcltesi Gazetecilik B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019nden mezun olduktan sonra Y\u0131ld\u0131z Teknik \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nde Siyaset Bilimi ve Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130li\u015fkiler alan\u0131nda y\u00fcksek lisans\u0131n\u0131 tamamlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra \u00e7e\u015fitli yay\u0131nc\u0131l\u0131k \u015firketlerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flayarak k\u00fclt\u00fcr-sanat ve daha sonra ekonomi haberleri haz\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2009 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren tekstil end\u00fcstrisine d\u00f6n\u00fck yay\u0131nlarda edit\u00f6r olarak g\u00f6rev alan Buz, 2013 itibariyle kurulan Textilegence\u2019de haber edit\u00f6r\u00fc olarak yer almaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 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